Survivor Bias: How We Look For Solutions With The Wrong Data

Survivor Bias: How We Look For Solutions With The Wrong Data

Survivor Bias During World War II, researchers examined planes that were damaged on missions but managed to return. In essence, they counted bullet holes. The thought was that these places that got hit needed to be strengthened and protected. Seems to make sense....
Spring Arrives With Free and New Books

Spring Arrives With Free and New Books

I put shorts on for the first time yesterday so it is officially spring. Maggie and Scout agree. To celebrate I’ve prepared a number of book deals today on my Freebies page: Independence Day (Time Patrol) is free. Roland’s mission in there is one of my favorites and...

What Will Happen When the Next Pandemic Strikes?

Pandemic I predicted a pandemic when I wrote the first draft of my Survival Guide in 2001. That doesn’t make me a genius. Anyone who spent more than a minute studying history knew one was inevitable. One always is. What I didn’t predict, and I’m a glass half-full, and...